Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that @CarsonGale is arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?

Question

A duplicate of Carson's market on this, resolving based on my opinion of whether the accusation was credible rather than their opinion.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (4 traders, as of Jan 1, 2026).