Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2076

Carson's Important Markets

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?

34%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead. For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month. They also must have been declared dead for at least one month. The resolution criteria of this market will not be dependent on whether the restored subject retains their personal identity/memories.

Update: 2023-02-13: A digital mind upload is not sufficient to merit a positive resolution.

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Carson Galebought Ṁ25 of NO

Jim Ausman bought Ṁ10 NO at 34%

Minh Truong bought Ṁ10 NO from 35% to 34%

Minh Truong bought Ṁ10 NO from 36% to 35%

Code & Solder bought Ṁ50 NO from 38% to 36%

Minh Truong bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%

Chase Gomes bought Ṁ10 YES from 38% to 39%

Lincoln Quirk bought Ṁ10 NO from 39% to 38%

Minh Truong bought Ṁ10 NO at 39%

howtodowtle bought Ṁ1 NO at 39%

Tripping bought Ṁ1 YES at 39%

AllAboutHustle bought Ṁ10 NO from 40% to 39%

N.C. Young bought Ṁ30 YES from 36% to 40%

mjman bought Ṁ30 NO from 39% to 36%

Carson Gale bought Ṁ100 NO from 48% to 39%

Carson Gale bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 48%

Carson Gale bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 49%

Odoacre bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 50%

Andrew Hebb bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 51%

Rodeo sold Ṁ9 NO from 51% to 52%

Shaked Koplewitz bought Ṁ450 YES from 49% to 51%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 49% (cancelled)

Shaked Koplewitz bought Ṁ100 YES from 46% to 50%

PryingMind bought Ṁ10 NO from 47% to 46%

Rodeo bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 47%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 NO at 48% (cancelled)

Steven sold Ṁ49 NO from 43% to 49%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 YES at 43% (cancelled)

Steven bought Ṁ50 NO from 48% to 42%

Nathan bought Ṁ10 YES from 47% to 48%

Zardoru bought Ṁ10 NO from 48% to 47%

charlie bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 48%

Olivia filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 NO at 50%

Olivia filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ450 NO at 50% (cancelled)

Durianess bought Ṁ10 NO at 51%

Durianess bought Ṁ10 NO at 51%

jonah bought Ṁ10 NO from 52% to 51%

Sonata Green bought Ṁ10 NO from 54% to 52%

N.C. Young bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 54%

Carson Gale bought Ṁ25 NO from 58% to 52%

paleink bought Ṁ15 YES from 55% to 58%

Isaac King filled limit order Ṁ27/Ṁ500 YES at 51% (cancelled)

Ivan bought Ṁ10 YES from 52% to 55%

adhiraj nijjer sold Ṁ0 NO at 52%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 52% (cancelled)

adhiraj nijjer sold Ṁ8 NO from 51% to 54%

power creep bought Ṁ10 NO at 51%

Isaac King filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ100 YES at 51% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ82/Ṁ100 NO at 47% (cancelled)

Isaac King filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 51%

adhiraj nijjer bought Ṁ10 NO at 41%

Related markets

Is cryonic reanimation possible?84%

Will cryonically-preserved brains remain preserved for as long as they need to be preserved?46%

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?88%

Conditional on me dying while signed up with any cryonics organization, will I be revived?26%

If I try to convince my 105 year old neighbor to sign up for cryonics, will I succeed?4%

Related markets

Is cryonic reanimation possible?84%

Will cryonically-preserved brains remain preserved for as long as they need to be preserved?46%

Will science make human beings biologically immortal in future?88%

Conditional on me dying while signed up with any cryonics organization, will I be revived?26%

If I try to convince my 105 year old neighbor to sign up for cryonics, will I succeed?4%