Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
48%
chance

The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead. For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month. They also must have been declared dead for at least one month. The resolution criteria of this market will not be dependent on whether the restored subject retains their personal identity/memories.

Update: 2023-02-13: A digital mind upload is not sufficient to merit a positive resolution.

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AndyMcKenzie avatar
Andy McKenziesold Ṁ10 of YES

"Update: 2023-02-13: A digital mind upload is not sufficient to merit a positive resolution."
Huge update. I'm selling my yes shares because this is assuming a lot more about future society, etc, and I'm not sure about it.

Adam avatar
Adambought Ṁ125 of NO

>2:1 odds that there's some fundamental issue that makes this way harder than people expect seems like a good deal to me

CarsonGale avatar
Carson Gale