Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
61
1kṀ26082051
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The restored subject must have previously been declared legally dead. For a positive resolution, the restored subject must be awake, be able to communicate, and live for at least one month. For purposes of this market, successfully uploading the subject's mind digitally such that the subject is commonly believed to be conscious and retains ~50% or more of the memory function that they would have had at death is sufficient for a positive resolution.
Companion Markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
"must have previously been declared legally dead" is a bit of a weird requirement
Related questions
Related questions
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
58% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?
15% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?
40% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?
39% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2075?
35% chance
If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
Will a cryonics patient be successfully biologically revived before 2040?
7% chance
[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
28% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2040?
17% chance
Will reviving a cryonics patient be developed before life extension to 200 years?
55% chance