Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will 12+ unicorns / public companies go bankrupt in 2023?
11
Ṁ230Ṁ795
resolved Jan 8
Resolved
YES

On January 4th, 2023 Term Sheet, a well-known financial newsletter by Fortune (typically regarding PE/VC) posted a series of predictions regarding the calendar year 2023.

One of these predictions was the following:

“At least a dozen unicorns and public companies will go bankrupt, throwing additional cold water on the venture market.” —Rick Zullo and Richard Kerby, co-founders and general partners, Equal Ventures

I will not attempt to initially define all resolution criteria in this market and will instead attempt to handle any nuances/complications/data feasibility as it arises. If by end of 2023 I think it is not possible to confidently resolve this market in the spirit in which it was intended, I reserve the right to resolve as "n/a".

Any clarifications to the resolution criteria will be listed below, along with the applicable date:

  • [TBU]

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ70
2Ṁ24
3Ṁ4
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ1
Sort by:

Chapter 11

AMRS

APPH

BBBY

BOXD

DBD

EVHC

HUN

IVC

MNK

NCMI

PRTA

PRTY

RIDE

SCTY

SIVB

STRY

TUEM

VORB

YELL

What happens if a unicorn goes public but retains its valuation at > $1B? Does that still count as a unicorn, or not?

@firstuserhere not sure I understand your question - my read of this prediction is that it would resolve positively if 12 companies that are either unicorns or public companies go bankrupt. So I don't believe your question would make a difference.

predictedYES

@CarsonGale ah, my mistake. Read too fast and missed the 'public companies' bit, think the question was about unicorns only, and was wondering what happens once a unicorn goes public

@firstuserhere no worries!