Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
54
10kṀ16k
2031
15%
chance

To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+. For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.

My discretion will be used to adjudicate how contractor use applies to the “one person” criteria. I will not bet in this market.

Inspired by Sam Altman’s latest comments here: https://x.com/andrewmichaelio/status/1752909423826067776?s=46&t=va-CTu7Has7Aq_D1_X5Thw

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