MANIFOLD
Will there be a unicorn with no human employees by EOY 2030?
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.5k
2030
17%
chance

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/Putcallparity/will-there-be-a-unicorn-founded-and

Note that human board members, founders (if not employed or involved in operations), or investors are still allowed for a 'YES' resolution here. But no humans can be employed by the company.
The focus in resolving this will not be on fine legal distinctions between 'contractor' and 'employee', but on the involvement of human labor in the day to day operations of the company. If the full time involvement of human contractors is required, or if an unpaid human founder is involved in operations on a daily basis in order to increase the value of their equity, this would resolve as 'NO'.

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