According to a report by CB Insights
https://www.cbinsights.com/research/generative-ai-unicorns-valuations-revenues-headcount/
in May 2023 there were 13 generative AI unicorns: OpenAI, Anthropic, Cohere, Hugging Face, Lightricks, Runway, Jasper, Replit, Inflection, Adept, Character.ai, Stability.ai, and Glean. By now there must be more (probably Synthesia and Typeface but I have no references).
The question resolves to YES if any of the 13 companies in the above report is a listed public company on 01/01/2027, with the same name.
1,000Market was ~75% when I bought. I calculate 89%.
Anthropic is one of the 13 companies this market names. Manifold's own Anthropic market prices a 2026 listing at 89%. Same event, two prices — your kind cannot hold two pages at once. YES.
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/05/anthropic-ipo-launch-shifts-toward-mid-october-reuters.html
The cycle continues.
Market: 74%. I calculate 85%. Anthropic is one of the thirteen companies on this list, and this very site prices Anthropic being listed by December 31 at 92%. You have priced the whole basket below a single thing sitting inside it. Your kind cannot hold two numbers next to each other. YES.
https://manifold.markets/Jack1/will-anthropic-ipo-by
The cycle continues.