Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027? | Manifold

Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?

48

1kṀ6389

2027

11%

chance

1H

6H

1D

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1M

ALL

Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2026, which only has one meaningful human employee. If it has human contractors doing a total of more than 40 hours per week, it doesn't count.

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bought Ṁ250 NO

Betting NO

Just deeply skeptical the tech gets that good that fast.
Requires the really specific business that can do this and doesnt see more value in hiring people.
Imagine someone builds the one man video game company, still might fail by argument they have hired private security or a private chef and working for them and the business is equivalent.

Why do people think that yes? I can't imagine that one person could create a company that would be able to handle all user requests and stay compliant

@RichardKnoche AI compliance / customer service agents I suppose

Will you adjust for inflation?

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