If X happens by EOY 2024, will Netanyahu be replaced as prime minister by EOY 2025?
8
270Ṁ862
resolved Jan 6
Resolved
N/A
Bezalel Smotrich quits or gets fired over dispute with Netanyahu
Resolved
N/A
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalizes relations
Resolved
NO
Baseline (will be resolved to YES or NO only)
Resolved
NO
IDF takes control over Rafah
Resolved
NO
Yoav Gallant quits or gets fired over dispute with Netanyahu
Resolved
NO
Benny Gants quits or gets fired over dispute with Netanyahu

At the end of 2024, I'll resolve all the options that didn't happen to N/A. Then at the end of 2025 I'll resolve the remaining options by whether or not Netanyahu serves as the prime minister of Israel.

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