This market resolves YES if the initial BEA Personal Income and Outlays release for May 2026 reports that the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index rose by at least 0.3% from April 2026 to May 2026. Use the BEA May 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release and its associated data table/interactive-data entry for the seasonally adjusted percent change from the preceding month in the PCE price index. A reported 0.3% or higher resolves YES; a reported 0.2% or lower resolves NO. This is not a core-PCE market. Exclude the PCE price index excluding food and energy when resolving. Use the first BEA May 2026 release, not later annual revisions, unless BEA issues a correction before this market resolves. If the release is delayed, wait for the first BEA May 2026 Personal Income and Outlays release unless no such release is available by July 31, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. BEA's release schedule currently lists Personal Income and Outlays, May 2026 for Thursday, June 25, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET. Resolver/source surfaces: - BEA release schedule: https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule - BEA current releases: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases - BEA Personal Income and Outlays: https://www.bea.gov/products/personal-income-outlays