This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for September 2026 reports that the all-items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from August 2026 to September 2026. Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all-items CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline. Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for September 2026 as the primary source. Do not use core CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions. If BLS corrects the initial September 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release. Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, September 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on October 14, 2026. The market closes one minute before the scheduled 08:30 ET release time. Creation source-check snapshot: {"checked_at": "2026-06-22T00:04:27Z", "local_fetch_checks": {"bls_cpi_home": {"error": "HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden", "ok": false, "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/"}, "bls_current_cpi_release": {"error": "HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden", "ok": false, "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm"}, "bls_october_2026_schedule": {"error": "HTTPError: HTTP Error 403: Forbidden", "ok": false, "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/10_sched.htm"}}, "note": "BLS blocked direct local fetches from this host during preflight; official schedule page was browser-verified immediately before creation.", "official_browser_verified_context": "BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, September 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on October 14, 2026."}. Related non-duplicates: - August 2026 CPI markets differ by reference month. - Core CPI markets differ because this market uses all-items/headline CPI-U. - PCE and PPI markets differ because this market uses BLS CPI-U. - Year-over-year inflation markets differ because this market uses seasonally adjusted month-over-month change. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS October 2026 release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/10_sched.htm - BLS CPI program page: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/ - BLS current CPI release surface: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm