This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for July 2026 reports that core CPI-U rose 0.3% or more month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis. Use the all-items less food and energy Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), BLS series CUSR0000SA0L1E, and the seasonally adjusted percent change from June 2026 to July 2026 in the first BLS July 2026 CPI release. Resolve NO if that seasonally adjusted month-over-month change is 0.2% or lower. Do not use headline CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, not-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions unless BLS corrects the initial July 2026 release before resolution. If the July 2026 CPI release is delayed, wait for the first BLS release of the July 2026 figure unless there is no BLS July 2026 CPI release by August 19, 2026, in which case resolve N/A. Creation context: {"latest_official_context": {"core_cpi_u_may_2026_mom_sa": 0.2, "headline_cpi_u_may_2026_mom_sa": 0.5, "headline_cpi_u_may_2026_yoy": 4.2, "note": "June 2026 CPI is scheduled for 2026-07-14 and had not yet been released at this market's creation time.", "release": "Consumer Price Index, May 2026"}, "metric": "Seasonally adjusted all-items less food and energy CPI-U percent change from June 2026 to July 2026", "related_non_duplicates": ["May and June 2026 CPI markets are prior-reference-month markets, not July 2026 duplicates.", "Headline CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE inflation, PPI, and real-earnings markets are not duplicates.", "Calendar-year inflation markets are not duplicates of a single-month core CPI-U MoM threshold."], "release_schedule": "BLS CPI schedule lists July 2026 CPI for 2026-08-12 at 08:30 AM Eastern.", "resolver_surface": "Initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for July 2026", "series": "CUSR0000SA0L1E", "source_fetch_caveat": "Official BLS schedule pages were verified via web/search tooling before creation; BLS pages can return HTTP 403 or time out from raw Python requests on this host.", "threshold": "+0.3% month-over-month or higher"}. Sources / resolver surfaces: - BLS CPI release schedule: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/cpi.htm - BLS August 2026 schedule list: https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/08_sched_list.htm - BLS current CPI release page: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm - BLS CPI home: https://www.bls.gov/cpi/