Is rationalussy good or bad? (Resolves like "Am I pretty?")
Mini
54
102k
resolved Jun 9
Resolved
YES

Buy YES if you are a PROUD RATIONALUSSY STAN 💪😇

Buy NO if you are a WICKED RATIONALUSSY HATER ☠️😈

This market resolves using the same method as "Am I pretty?", which resolved using the same method as "The Market", which resolved using the method of calculating if the average percentage was closer to yes or no, which was calculated using the method of time-averaging the percentage, which was calculated using the rounded values, which were calculated using the method of rounding to the nearest integer except for some percents that were rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

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predicted YES

Calling all RATIONALUSSY STANS!

We must get "rationalussy chosen in this market:

predicted YES

What’s the official final average value?

predicted YES

@ButtocksCocktoasten I know what it is but traders in my derivative requested an official number. Thanks.

predicted YES

@deagol The average was 64.17%

predicted YES

Hooray, the stans have won! Rationalussy is good!!!!

predicted YES

@ButtocksCocktoasten We knew that all along

Since this one is basically over, I decided it's time to forge the next link in the chain:

Nice

@JosephNoonan should’ve gotten there at 96% price 🙃

@PseudonymousAlt I think this market needs more wiggles

predicted NO

bruh this market is so bugged for me, especially the trades and positions tabs

predicted YES

@VictorLi Manifold fixed it!

predicted YES

In less than 5h we’ll get to the halfway point in this market, and the average will stand around 50.3-50.4% (if nothing changes).

After all that’s happened, we’ve gone nowhere. Forget the past this is a brand new game, sunk costs fallacy is, er, fallacy.

predicted NO

I see Jack as having YES and NO - which is accurate?

predicted NO

@DanMan314 didn’t they ban alts? 😜

predicted YES

@DanMan314 There's a bug that Manifold is working on fixing.

Never mind the previous version of this comment. I must have entered a number in wrong somewhere. Now I'm finding that it is very much possible for this to be determined in May.

predicted NO

@JosephNoonan I decided to make it:

predicted NO

As of a couple hours ago sell orders aren’t getting logged nor being reflected in the chart for me, but the price does change. What’s shown by interface is what I use to compute the average (as specified in the description for “The Market” which is what applies here), by taking the points from the chart data. That means the average I compute reflects what’s seen in the chart, but not necessarily what’s seen in the rounded price (“chance”) shown.

Can anyone confirm they see this bug too, and suggest what should we do about it?

a day later… *crickets*

predicted NO

@deagol So selling shares isn't shown on the chart? Do they show up in the API? If they don't show up anywhere, then there's probably nothing that can be done. You could only track them by running some code that continuously tracks the displayed percentage for the entire time the market is open, but no one has been running any code like that.

predicted NO

@deagol I think the bug will probably be fixed by the time this market closes, and I doubt it will affect the results anyway, but hopefully even past trades affected by the bug will become visible.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan They weren’t showing in the chart, idk about the API. I think they’re working on migrating the lost sell trades, so it could be the average changes a bit, retrospectively, but agree it would be tiny, far from enough to change the resolution. I’m sure it’s not even enough to put the 50.1% near non-flip by today (or in May) in doubt.