Is rationalussy good or bad? (Resolves like "Am I pretty?")
54
650
resolved Jun 9
Resolved
YES

Buy YES if you are a PROUD RATIONALUSSY STAN 💪😇

Buy NO if you are a WICKED RATIONALUSSY HATER ☠️😈

This market resolves using the same method as "Am I pretty?", which resolved using the same method as "The Market", which resolved using the method of calculating if the average percentage was closer to yes or no, which was calculated using the method of time-averaging the percentage, which was calculated using the rounded values, which were calculated using the method of rounding to the nearest integer except for some percents that were rounded to the nearest 0.1%.

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ButtocksCocktoasten avatar
Buttocks Cocktoastenpredicted YES

Calling all RATIONALUSSY STANS!

We must get "rationalussy chosen in this market:

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted YES

What’s the official final average value?

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted YES

@ButtocksCocktoasten I know what it is but traders in my derivative requested an official number. Thanks.

ButtocksCocktoasten avatar
Buttocks Cocktoastenpredicted YES

@deagol The average was 64.17%

ButtocksCocktoasten avatar
Buttocks Cocktoastenpredicted YES

Hooray, the stans have won! Rationalussy is good!!!!

JohnSmithb9be avatar
John Smithpredicted YES

@ButtocksCocktoasten We knew that all along

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ1 of YES

Since this one is basically over, I decided it's time to forge the next link in the chain:

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

Nice

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ0 of YES

@JosephNoonan should’ve gotten there at 96% price 🙃

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ1,000 of YES
PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ0 of YES

@PseudonymousAlt I think this market needs more wiggles

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ100 of YES
VictorLJZ avatar
Victor Lipredicted NO

bruh this market is so bugged for me, especially the trades and positions tabs

jack avatar
Jackpredicted YES

@VictorLi Manifold fixed it!

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted YES

In less than 5h we’ll get to the halfway point in this market, and the average will stand around 50.3-50.4% (if nothing changes).

After all that’s happened, we’ve gone nowhere. Forget the past this is a brand new game, sunk costs fallacy is, er, fallacy.

DanMan314 avatar
Danpredicted NO

I see Jack as having YES and NO - which is accurate?

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted NO

@DanMan314 didn’t they ban alts? 😜

jack avatar
Jackpredicted YES

@DanMan314 There's a bug that Manifold is working on fixing.

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'bought Ṁ0 of NO

Never mind the previous version of this comment. I must have entered a number in wrong somewhere. Now I'm finding that it is very much possible for this to be determined in May.

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'predicted NO

@JosephNoonan I decided to make it:

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ16 of YES
deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted NO

As of a couple hours ago sell orders aren’t getting logged nor being reflected in the chart for me, but the price does change. What’s shown by interface is what I use to compute the average (as specified in the description for “The Market” which is what applies here), by taking the points from the chart data. That means the average I compute reflects what’s seen in the chart, but not necessarily what’s seen in the rounded price (“chance”) shown.

Can anyone confirm they see this bug too, and suggest what should we do about it?

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ0 of YES

a day later… *crickets*

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'predicted NO

@deagol So selling shares isn't shown on the chart? Do they show up in the API? If they don't show up anywhere, then there's probably nothing that can be done. You could only track them by running some code that continuously tracks the displayed percentage for the entire time the market is open, but no one has been running any code like that.

PlasmaBallin avatar
Plasma Ballin'predicted NO

@deagol I think the bug will probably be fixed by the time this market closes, and I doubt it will affect the results anyway, but hopefully even past trades affected by the bug will become visible.

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellopredicted YES

@JosephNoonan They weren’t showing in the chart, idk about the API. I think they’re working on migrating the lost sell trades, so it could be the average changes a bit, retrospectively, but agree it would be tiny, far from enough to change the resolution. I’m sure it’s not even enough to put the 50.1% near non-flip by today (or in May) in doubt.