Brazil 2026 Election: First Round Surprises
2
Ṁ100Ṁ88Oct 4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
24%
Lula win the presidency in the first round
24%
Flávio Bolsonaro finish first in the first round
24%
A presidential candidate other than Lula or Flávio Bolsonaro receive 8%+ of valid votes
24%
Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro finish within 2 percentage points of each other
Resolution: official first-round results published by Brazil's TSE.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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