Will Tom Cruise go to Space by 2027?
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2027
54%
chance

Reference

For the purposes of this market, Cruise has gone to space if he spends any time above the Kármán line, an altitude of 100km.

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What counts as "space"? Does it have to be orbit, or does a hop in New Shepard count as well, for example? Does he have to be above 100km? Does a Virgin Galactic flight up to 85km count? Does a trip up to 37km with something like the World View space balloon count?

@Mqrius Good question, see updated description. Orbit will not be necessary.

@BoltonBailey Thanks for the clarification! And "by 2027", does that include if it happens in 2027 or not?

@Mqrius It must happen on or before the close date: 2027-12-31.