Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
35
Ṁ5486
2027
33%
chance

Space tourism is rapidly advancing, but whether it will be mainstream by 2027 is uncertain. Proponents argue that technological advancements, commercial launch plans, and infrastructure development like space hotels will make it accessible. However, critics point out the high costs, safety and regulatory challenges, and limited capacity, suggesting it will remain exclusive.

Resolution Criteria:This will resolve YES if:

  • By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are commercially available and can be booked by the general public, similar to traditional airline flights, regardless of cost.

This will resolve NO if:

  • By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are not commercially available for the general public to book, or they remain exclusive and not accessible through standard booking processes.

I think that this is a tough one. We are currently on track and advancing at an astounding rate, but regulatory changes and the inherent complexities of space travel could potentially hinder mainstream adoption by 2027.

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Do suborbital flight above the Kármán count?

Can you be more specific about the resolution criteria for YES? It's seems that suborbital space flights are commercially available (Virgin Galactic, Blue Origin), and orbital flights are also available: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fram2, https://www.spacex.com/v2/humanspaceflight/submit

@Kire_ - Thank you for your question. I have edited the description.

@Kire_ heardle

We are waiting for the latest information from the match in the month