Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?
6
1.6kṀ16602027
50%
[James's system of equations for multichoice mechanism versions](https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/solve-these-equations-for-a-simpler#pcfde0bgc1)
25%
Formalizing "Categorical Composable Cryptography"
24%
Data availability phase changes
24%
SNARK project w/ Sanjam
23%
`nazg`: Proving Ring Equalities Done Wrong
23%
Iuvenes Project w/ Or
23%
Mechanism design to incentivize `mathlib` contribution
23%
Optimal sampling for statistical democracy w/ Surya
23%
Post-quantum backdoorable VDFs
22%
Formal Proof for Marlin w/ Pratyush
21%
NeRF the world
21%
Eigenlayer Project w/ Or
21%
TEE via physics/materials science w/ Sylvain
20%
Krugman's Interstellar trade redux
19%
Solving Hanabi
18%
Automated Market Maker Monte Carlo w/ @EvanDaniel
18%
Mixing for slow traders
18%
Quantum cowry shells
18%
range saturation tactic
17%
Homotopy theory DeFi
I have a variety of ideas that live on my computer/in Overleaf files/GitHub repos with my collaborators. I would like to predict which ideas I will actually be able to turn into research.
These don't necessarily reflect titles. Rather they reflect ideas, some of which might eventually be combined in some form with other ideas. Some of them are anonymized to avoid leaking ideas, feel free to DM if you are interested in hearing about details / betting on them for me / participating in the projects themselves.
Clarificatory note: I am not considering things I publish on my blog to be "published" in the sense of this market. For things on my blog by the end of 2025, see this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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