Which blog posts will get more likes on my Substack in 2025?
1
350Ṁ2
resolved Sep 29
ResolvedN/A
Resolved
N/A
[Posted] A High School Math Program Got Me Through Grad School
Resolved
N/A
[Posted] Analysis of "Relative Brier Score"
Resolved
N/A
[Posted] Notes on AI for Text-To-Speech
Resolved
N/A
[Posted] Prediction Market Thoughts pt 3: The Holy Trinity of Bots
Resolved
N/A
[Posted] Quantum Commodities
Resolved
N/A
Have LLM chat assistants been useful to me? An analysis
Resolved
N/A
Kessler Syndrome is Self-Defeating
Resolved
N/A
Kessler Syndrome Mitigation through Ley Lines
Resolved
N/A
Krugman Interstellar Trade Redux: The Economic Twin Paradox
Resolved
N/A
Prediction Market Thoughts pt 4: Convexity of Preference
Resolved
N/A
Quantum GMW Transform
Resolved
N/A
Surface-Orbiting Megastructures
Resolved
N/A
The Production of Outer Space: Communism in Orbit
Resolved
N/A
The Quantum Milkman

Listed as answers are a number of drafts/post ideas I have for my blog, The Quantum Milkman. I will add any new (text) posts I make as additional answers. This resolves N/A for any ideas that do not get fully written and put onto the blog by the end of November 2025.

Then, at the end of 2025, I will take all the ones that did get added to the blog and count the likes. Any posts that have an above-median number of likes among these resolve YES. Any posts that have a below-median number of likes resolve NO. Any with an exactly-median number of likes resolve to 50%

  • Update 2025-09-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator intends to resolve this market to N/A soon due to no trades, and to reuse the liquidity for another, more useful market about their blog posts.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I haven't got any trades here so I think I'm going to N/A this and think about reusing the liquidity to make a more useful market about my blog posts.

I see no one has been trading here (understandably in retrospect, since there's not a lot of information available about the options). This market might be better off as a decision market about what posts would get a better response. Hopefully no one minds if I ninja-edit the criteria.

Kessler Syndrome one sounds good

@asmith Did a particular one sound more interesting? I think I would likely put these up one after the other as a mini-series.

There is a draft that shares the name with the blog itself?

@wadimiusz Yes 🥛

@BoltonBailey any hints as to the contents?

@wadimiusz That one in particular is about what is sometimes called "Quantum Sneakernet" though at the time I named the blog I didn't realize it was already an idea with some traction.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy