What will be the next country to join NATO?
61
2.3kαΉ38kresolved Apr 4
100%99.1%
Finland
0.0%Other
0.0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.0%
Georgia
0.0%
Ukraine
0.4%
Sweden
0.0%
Serbia
0.0%
Ireland
0.0%
Kosovo
0.0%
Cyprus
0.0%
Kaliningrad oblast
0.0%
Mexico
0.0%
Scotland
0.0%
Catalonia
0.4%
Sweden and Finland simultaneously
0.0%
United States
0.0%
Republic of China
0.0%
Moldova
If no new country joins NATO before February 23, 2032, this market resolves to N/A.
May 20, 9:19pm: Update: I posted a reply to the "Simultaneously" market expressing skepticism, but looking back, I don't think I was clear. To throw a bone to the (person) who bet it all on "Simultaneously" apparently without reading this comment, I will go 1/3-1/3-1/3 on Sweden, Finland, and "Simultaneously" if they do indeed join simultaneously. But I'm disqualifying any other answers that list more than one country, and if some set of countries other than {Sweden, Finland} join simultaneously, it will just be a choose multiple between those countries.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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