NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) is an international military alliance consisting of 31 member states from Europe and North America.
This market will resolve as soon as at least one of the existing NATO members leaves (or is kicked off) the alliance.
On market's creation date, November 12 2023, the member states of NATO were:
Albania, Belgium, Bulgaria, Canada, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States.
If more than one country leaves NATO at the same time, the resolution will split among them.
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3.00@KripkeSaul Why? It goes on until first leaver. I see no issue.
What am I missing are scenarios like that countries will not come to defend the alliance partner upon activation of article 5, NATO becoming irrelevant without countries explicitly leaving it, etc.