Jupiter moon lander launched by end of 2028? | Manifold

Jupiter moon lander launched by end of 2028?

11

1kṀ920

2028

10%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if any organization or country has successfully launched into space a mission which intends to land on the surface of any of Jupiter's moons by the end of 2028.

The probe must be designed to land on the surface of a moon, not just crash into one.

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Would an impacter probe count?

@JoshuaWilkes No (updated criteria)

Currently the only mission that stands a decent chance is the Europa Lander Mission. They don't really have a timeline though, or much of a plan. They do have some science instruments development underway (ICEE-2 awards), but I'm not expecting this to develop quickly.

Europa Clipper and JUICE won't land, China doesn't have any plans until 2035, Laplace-P was cancelled... the only left field option would be Starship becoming extremely prevalent, but I expect they'll be quite busy with the prep for Artemis 3 up to at least 2027.

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Related questions

Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?

Will a spacecraft made by humans land on a moon of Jupiter before 2050?

Will a human mission successfully land on Mars by the end of 2028?

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Will a human land on the moon by 2028?

Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?

Will a spacecraft that plans to attempt a soft landing on Mercury launch by the end of 2030?

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2030?

Will the Rosalind Franklin rover launch before the end of 2028?

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