Will a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet be officially launched before the end of 2040?๐Ÿš€
44
1kแน€4532
2041
25%
chance

This question seeks to predict whether a spacecraft specifically designed for landing on an exoplanet will be launched by the end of the year 2040. The term "exoplanet" refers to a planet outside our solar system. The launch of such a mission would represent a groundbreaking achievement in human space exploration.๐Ÿš€

Criteria for Resolution:

  • Resolution as "Yes":

    • An official announcement by a recognized space agency or private space company stating that a spacecraft designed to land on an exoplanet has been launched.

    • The launch must occur before the end of December 31, 2040.

    • The spacecraft's primary mission should include landing on the surface of an identified exoplanet, as opposed to merely orbiting or performing a flyby.

    • The announcement should be corroborated by credible sources in the space exploration community or by media coverage.

  • Resolution as "No":

    • No spacecraft designed for an exoplanet landing will be launched by any space agency or private space company by December 31, 2040.

    • Announcements or plans for future missions that have not yet been launched by the end of 2040 do not count towards a "Yes" resolution.

Get
แน€1,000
to start trading!
ยฉ Manifold Markets, Inc.โ€ขTermsโ€ขPrivacy