Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.
Expected resolution criteria (pending final reference market selection):
Independents count for the party they caucus with
Tie in Senate broken by VP
1,000@EvanDaniel These are good questions. As you probably expect by now, part of the idea of this kind of market for me is arbitrage, so I think I was hoping to choose some definitive reference markets closer to the election and turn this into a derivative of those. If you have a good candidate for reference markets I could maybe make that decision now. Hopefully they would be highly traded and have the kind of boilerplate which is usual for markets like these (I think "independents count for the party they caucus with, tie in senate broken by VP" is pretty standard).