Scott runs an annual book review contest (2022 rules; 2022 results). People occasionally think that one of the anonymous reviews is by Scott himself, though so far none has been revealed to be so. I am curious what the results would be if he did participate, and I also hope that this market makes it more likely that he'll participate (@ScottAlexander: do you really want to make all these market participants sad by forcing me to resolve N/A?). So:

If Scott reveals that he will not / did not enter his 2023 contest, or if he neither confirms nor denies his participation within one month after final rankings are announced, this resolves N/A. Otherwise, this resolves YES if Scott gets 3rd place or above (including tied-for-3rd), and NO otherwise.

Fine print: I will not bet in this market. In the last week of December, if this market has at least 5 participants, I will email Scott to make sure he's seen it [EDIT: done on Dec 28; we had 8 traders]. A non-exhaustive list of edge cases:

- If Scott asks me to resolve N/A (e.g. because he dislikes the pressure), this resolves N/A

- If Scott submits multiple entries, this resolves YES if any one of them would individually resolve YES

- If Scott confirms he participated but after one month of posting rankings does not reveal which review is his, this resolves NO (i.e. I will assume that any anonymous/pseudonymous members of the top 3 are not Scott)

- The close date is an estimate based on this year's contest timeline, but I will push it back if the market cannot be resolved yet