Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Question

Resolves YES if it is shown or reputably reported that Waymo has begun serving public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge. Resolves NO at close otherwise.

Public - must be a member of the public, not exclusive to Waymo/Alphabet employees
Driverless - must not have a safety driver

Shown/reputably reported - requires evidence of the crossing, not just a PR announcement

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (5 traders, as of Mar 17, 2026).

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