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Will a major AI company publish a “responsible scaling policy” for AI consciousness by 2030?
11
Ṁ170Ṁ205
2030
55%
chance

A responsible scaling policy (RSP) or risk-informed development policy (RDP) is a framework adopted by companies like Anthropic and OpenAI that aims to ensure that they do not release catastrophically unsafe AIs. Such a framework defines levels of concerning capabilities and corresponding types of safety mitigations that would be adopted, and compliance is monitored through ongoing evaluations.

Will a major AI company adopt an “RSP for AI consciousness” by the end of 2029? This would involve:

  • Defining features or indicators of consciousness to be monitored

  • Outlining mitigation measures to avoid suffering or conscious AIs

See also: Project ideas: Sentience and rights of digital minds (substack.com)

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