Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg have agreed to fight each other in a cage match. As of market creation no date has been confirmed for the fight.
This market will resolve 'yes' if Mark Zuckerberg wins the fight.
In the event of a draw or the fight not going ahead, it will resolve N/A.
Related questions
@Berg Fridman saying “extremely impressed with [Musk’s] strength, power, and skill, on the feet and on the ground” gave me flashbacks to the “doctor” that claimed Trump had extraordinary physical strength and stamina, and would be the healthiest president in the history of the country.
All the martial arts people I talk to (including someone who can fairly be described as an extensive expert in martial arts) think that jiu jitsu training vs. slightly heavier+much taller but no training is hardly a competition, so my guess is that the odds should only depend on how much time Musk actually spends training.
@Heliscone If this were a fight between a 100 lb. girl who is super well trainedand a 300lb. fit man, it's reasonable to think that strength will just be enough but this isn't that. He's significantly but not insanely larger and Zuckerberg is in very good shape + seems to be quite good at jiu jitsu compared to an average person. I just don't see Musk spending a lot of time training.
@MarcusAbramovitch Yeah, makes sense.
Wait, so then why did you buy NO? Is that just you think Zuckerberg is likely to win, but not 75% likely?
"In the event of a draw or the fight not going ahead, it will resolve N/A."
@a shame you can't actually bet on the fight on those sites yet. only on manifold can you bet on sports matches that may not happen u_u
@JonahKrompart people who don't train don't realize how little size matters between a trained vs untrained individual.
Musk doesn't have the time to train up most likely.
Zuckerberg is simply way too good at jiujitsu and martial arts such that the size discrepancy won't be that big of a factor.
Many large men have been humbled by women in martial arts
@MarcusAbramovitch Yeah ok that’s underdog cope, now put your money where your mouth is so I can make SO MUCH MORE MONEY when I triple down on this.
@Schwabilismus You clearly don’t see how I’m betting, the markets haven’t even resolved, I only bet on markets that give me so many returns
@MarcusAbramovitch I’m sure you do man I’ve only been here a few months, don’t be a pussy with limit orders and just put a bunch of money in at it resolving yes
@MarcusAbramovitch LOL OK SO YOU ALSO GOT ALL YOUR PORTFOLIO VALUE FROM THE SAME MARKET COME ON MAN YOU JUST HAD MORE TO PUT INTO MVW
@JonahKrompart musk's extra weight isn't muscle, and he's in his fifties. It's a mistake to extrapolate to him from actual martial artists.
@JonahKrompart "Gets time to train" is a weird condition. Even if they plan a fight in a long time horizon there's no particular reason to believe he'll suddenly spend three hours a day working out.
@ShakedKoplewitz You really think he wouldn’t train for a fight? Ok sure man just put more money on YES I want more leverage.
@JonahKrompart Bro, stop didlin kids and gtfo out with your C calibration. You couldn’t predict where the sun rises tomorrow morning never mind something serious like this.
@JonahKrompart Yeah? My crypto investments would make you adjust your eyes so don't even tell me about real trading, you probably still bag holding some BBBY Mr. Calibration C Krompart. Probably got a 1.5% CD your mom setup for you.
@JonahKrompart I'm sure he'd do some pushups, but the sort of training that lets a guy in his fifties compete with a guy in his thirties? Nah, unlikely.
@ShakedKoplewitz Interesting, I mean with all that money and image on the line I’d think he’d do a bit more but sure.
@jeremiahsamroo Guys, I may have been a tad blackout drunk last night on here. I apologize for my lewd behaviors and the inappropriateness of it all.