Will my Manifold portfolio be worth more than M$ 1000 by the end of Feb 2022?
13
47
แน449แน100
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to yes if my portfolio (including Invested) is worth more than its current M$ 1000 at the end of Feb 2022. I do not intend to purchase any funds before this market resolves.
Mar 1, 12:51am: Resolving YES because Feb has ended (my local time) and my current total portfolio is $M 1,119
Get แน200 play money
Related questions
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน20 | |
| 2 | แน20 | |
| 3 | แน7 | |
| 4 | แน0 | |
| 5 | แน0 |
Sort by:
I have now also bought M$ 200 of NO on 'Will Russia invade Ukraine before the Winter Olympics conclude?' and M$ 50 of YES on 'Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of February?' because I think the probability of invasion before 20th is less than 60% conditional on it happening in February. (Note that the latter of those markets resolves after this one, so for the sake of this market it will be judged based on the implied probability at the time this market resolves if I have not yet closed my position)
I just made this account today. The only other market I have any trades in yet is your 'Will this market have M$15,000 invested by February 25th?' market, in which I currently have M$ 97 on yes (was M$ 110 when I bought it). I do intend to make more trades, but no promises that I'll update you on what future trades I make.
Related questions
Related questions
Will I have paid at least 1000 USD to Manifold Markets by the end of 2024?
31% chance
What will be my Manifold net worth at the end of 2024?
Will Manifold display sell value in portfolio by end of 2024?
29% chance
Will I ever be net positive (real money) on Manifold before 2030?
32% chance
Will Manifold ever be worth $1B?
8% chance
Will Manifold raise another $1M USD in 2024?
85% chance
Will Manifold raise another $500K USD in 2024?
90% chance