
I will not bet on this market.
(2/7/2023) relevant info:
- I started actively using Manifold at the beginning of January. So far I have spent 80 USD.
- I'm finding it very fun and using it often. I'm on a 12 day streak now.
- Historically, I sometimes become very interested in things and then lose interest completely.
- I plan to charitably donate some fraction of my income each year anyways. I haven't yet looked into how donating Manifold play money works, but that could make it more likely for me to put more money into my account.
- My profit is currently negative, so I might be worse than average at prediction markets. But then again, I keep finding what seem like obvious arbitrage opportunities.
- I don't have enough experience with gambling to know how prone I am to getting addicted to it. I coincidentally played poker for money for the first time last night, and lost. I will likely do that again at least once sometime this year.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ338 | |
2 | Ṁ60 | |
3 | Ṁ24 | |
4 | Ṁ10 | |
5 | Ṁ8 |