Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US? | Manifold

Will there be a nationwide abortion ban, ever, in the US?

21

1kṀ2951

2038

27%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Until the US is dissolved, be it by nanobots to power computronium, or by a hydrogen or more exotic bomb. alternatively, it may splinter into several countries, or be invaded by the Canadian army.

In any case, when such a dissolution occurs, will a nationwide abortion ban have ever been enacted, after market creation? If so, this market resolves YES when such a ban is enacted. If not, this market resolves NO upon the dissolution of the United States of America.

My money's on 4th of july 2038

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bought Ṁ150 YES

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Would banning abortion after 39 weeks constitute a ban?

Any insight on what constitutes the smallest YES nationwide abortion ban? How would a situation à la certain-drug-policies resolve—federally criminalized yet also allowed by individual state laws? (Apologies if already specified in other markets.)

I think that would count. It's hard to tell what the smallest YES nationwide abortion ban would be, but if on a federal level abortion is illegal, whether for the doctor to allow abortion in general, or for the woman to get an abortion, or stuff like that, it would resolve this market YES

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Conditional on Republican trifecta: will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?

Will prescribing abortion pills be a US federal felony at the end of February 2025?

Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?

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