Will Sweepstakes betting be available in Canada by April 1st 2025?
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13
Ṁ1264
2025
40%
chance

Resolves Yes if it is possible to trade in Sweepstakes markets and redeem payouts for cash in similiar manner in which it is available to US citizens before close date in Canada by April 1st 2025.


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/ScipioFabius/will-sweepstakes-betting-be-availab

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All of Canada? Quebec has some strange rules.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@nikki They changed those actually

please quebec be normal 🙏

@nikki but yes, all of canada.

I guess if less than 5% of the canadian population had an exception that would probably go against the spirit of the market in which case it might resolve YES. I'm not sure. thoughts?

@Bayesian Is your concern if it is available ONLY in Quebeck, or everywhere BUT Quebec? I read the market and it looks like it just has to be possible for someone who happens to be in a part of Canada that is compatible.

@Eliza my concern is if it is not available for a large fraction of canadians, but available for the rest. if it's available for nearly all canadians, i would consider that as being "available in canada" and if it was available for only a few canadians (like canadian-us dual citizens or smth) i would consider it a stretch for it to be considered "available in canada". not sure about where the line should be. I personally care most of all about the quebec part because I live there, but the market question isn't meant to treat quebec availability any differently than any other provinces' availability, controlling for population

@Bayesian IMO, you can pick between "someone located in Quebec can do this" and "someone located somewhere in Canada can do this". Those both seem a lot better than "most people in most parts of Canada can do this", but you could state a number like "at least 3 provinces" or whatever.

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