Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2025?
Basic
10
Ṁ2462026
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games. Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2025).
See also:
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d (this one)
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
60% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
70% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
79% chance
Will a video game involving LLM dialogue be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
39% chance
What will be Steam's 12 top selling new releases of 2024?
Which PC games will make it into Metacritic's 2024 end of year top ten?
Will any video game surpass Minecraft as the best-selling video game of all time by 2028?
27% chance
What will be Steam's 12 top selling games of 2024?
Will a video game integrating a GPT reach >100'000 concurrent players by the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will I release a game in 2024?
31% chance