Will a mobile game released in 2024 get played by over 500 million people before 2029?
3
140Ṁ3732029
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most-played_mobile_games_by_player_count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
54% chance
Will any mobile game reach a player count of 700 million players before 2027, according to Wikipedia's list?
33% chance
Will a game made with GameMaker Studio that releases in 2024 sell 1 million copies by EOY 2025?
40% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will my video game be released by the end of 2025?
64% chance
What will be the most downloaded mobile game in the US in 2024
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
70% chance
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
79% chance
Will I have developed a decent incremental game before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will a new social media platform launched after 1/1/23 surpass 500 million active users by 2026?
28% chance