Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
13
204
2027
58%
chance

Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games. Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2026).

See also:

/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d

/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9 (This one)
/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055

/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20

/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-involving-llm-dia

Get Ṁ600 play money
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bought Ṁ10 YES

GTA VI?

i expected it to be lower for 2027, so since that one is high let's see how low we can go for ppl to still expect it to happen!

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