Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026. Update 2026-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A qualifying model must be independent (not open-sourced) and sold commercially, whether via API access or subscription.

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 21% chance (9 traders, as of Jul 16, 2026).

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026?

Ṁ1kṀ1.4k

Dec 31

21%

chance

ALL

Will DeepSeek release a proprietary model for sale before EOY 2026.

Update 2026-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A qualifying model must be independent (not open-sourced) and sold commercially, whether via API access or subscription.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ200 NO at 30% order

For sale as in selling model weights for local deployment or does the more standard idea of payed API subscription count?

@ProjectVictory means an independent model that they do not open source and sell, whether via api or subscription