Will DeepSeek be banned in US before 2027?
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2027
15%
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If any part of their ecosystem is banned - chat app, use of model weights, etc - this resolves as yes

  • Update 2025-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Government agencies or branches banning DeepSeek will not be considered as part of the resolution.

    • The focus is on a wider national ban beyond government agencies/branches.

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Banned for everyone or just a segment, like government or something?

@WilliamGunn Thanks for the great question - for sake of this market, I will not count govt agencies or branches banning DeepSeek as part of the resolution. The reason being that govt agencies might prohibit staff from using any LLM because of security concerns, and I think spirit of the question is more about wider national ban beyond govt agencies/branches.

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