Will Eliezer Yudkowsky's $150,000 UFO bet market spend at least a week below 90% in 2025? | Manifold

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky's $150,000 UFO bet market spend at least a week below 90% in 2025?

30

1kṀ12k

2026

22%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Any 7 day period in 2025 where it does not get to 90% or above (as displayed in the UI) counts.

Resolves N/A if loan rules change in 2025 (because loan rules influence the market in question a lot).

I plan to bet in this market since the resolution criteria are objective.

Eliezer Yudkowsky

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-nvm did not read description before commenting like an idiot-

Same question, multiple levels

bought Ṁ10 YES

Upgraded to Plus

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