Will Eliezer Yudkowsky's $150,000 UFO bet market spend at least a week below X% in 2025 (multiple levels)?
29
1.4kṀ51k
resolved Mar 1
Resolved
N/A
20%
Resolved
N/A
39%
Resolved
N/A
50%
Resolved
N/A
80%
Resolved
N/A
82%
Resolved
N/A
84%
Resolved
N/A
86%
Resolved
N/A
88%
Resolved
N/A
90%
Resolved
N/A
91%

The market in question:

Any 7 day period in 2025 where it does not get to X% or above (as displayed in the UI) counts.

Resolves N/A if loan rules change in 2025 (because loan rules influence the market in question a lot).

I plan to bet in this market since the resolution criteria are objective.

Eliezer Yudkowsky
Meta-markets
Aliens
UFO
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