Will Trump be held under house arrest at Trump Tower at any point before 2025?
44
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Market context
Trump
Republican Party
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@BTE @mods
Don't believe this has happened

His residence is mara lago isn't it?

predictedYES

@peterpumpkin I have a question about that too. But who knows if he can’t even afford to keep mar-a-lago after the feds are done with him.

Related markets:

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned

https://manifold.markets/mudPi314/will-trump-be-held-under-house-arre-fca8baf1274c

When will Trump serve time?
Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence. What counts? Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence. Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts. Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count. It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.

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