Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2025?
Basic
22
Ṁ1.9k2026
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence before the end of 2025. It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing. House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison. However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
Resolves NO otherwise
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I find it interesting that the probability here is much higher than my https://manifold.markets/Xelad102c/will-donald-trump-spend-more-than-a?r=WGVsYWQxMDJj .
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