Will the newly discovered contagious acute pneumonia of unknown origin in Argentina lead to a global pandemic event by the end of 2022?
21
2
แน2.1Kแน421
resolved Sep 26
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
In the last week there has been an unknown virus causing deadly pneumonia in Argentina that is eerily reminiscent of the first cases of Covid in Wuhan in 2020. Covid, heptavirus and influenza have all been ruled out and it is already spreading to health workers. So far three of seven known cases have proven fatal.
Resolves YES if these cases are caused by a novel virus that takes hold in the population and spreads to become a global pandemic similar in scale to Covid-19 by the end of 2022. Resolves NO if not.
Get แน200 play money
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน292 | |
| 2 | แน77 | |
| 3 | แน14 | |
| 4 | แน12 | |
| 5 | แน11 |
Sort by:
Looks like it's caused by Legionnaire's disease, which won't start a new pandemic.
https://twitter.com/mvankerkhove/status/1566348007905320961
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a new pandemic resulting in international travel restrictions by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will the World Health Organization declare another global pandemic before 2030?
52% chance
Will the WHO declare a public health emergency of international concern over strep A in 2024?
41% chance
Will an engineered virus cause a pandemic before 2035?
29% chance
Will an engineered pathogen cause a pandemic before 2030?
7% chance
Will there be another pandemic before 2025?
12% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2100?
11% chance
Will we discover a novel pathogen that causes disease and originates from Mars before the end of 2080?
9% chance
Will a pandemic caused by a novel pathogen occur before 2032 and result in the deaths of more than 20 million people?
19% chance
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
20% chance