At least 3500 Gazans were held in Israeli prison following 10/7 despite no connection to the attack and then today were taken to the border of Gaza and forced to REENTER!!!! Will this continue until 5000+ Gazan refugees are forced to reenter the refugee camp by the end of 2023?
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Sorry, I made a mistake. For some reason I assumed all of the workers were in Israel on 10/7. Turns out almost all of the workers were freed in early November, when this market started. That was 3,200 people. It was impossible for this market to resolve YES from the beginning. I am stupid and deserve to lose the mana here.
"Fadi Bakr, who had been working in an Israeli mall, was fired from his job on October 7. The 29-year-old was granted a work permit a year and a half ago, and would usually spend a week at a time in Israel before returning to his family in the southern Gaza city of Khan Younis.
After his dismissal, Bakr made his way to the occupied West Bank and stayed in Hebron with other workers who, he said, were all distraught about the unfolding horrors in the Gaza Strip."
Many workers seem to have gone to the west bank. More evidence that the revoked work permits do not imply they have been forced into Gaza
All work permits have been cancelled since the war started
There are 12 thousand Gazans with permits working in construction alone
Resolves YES
source: https://www.globes.co.il/news/article.aspx?did=1001461063
@Shump Nowhere in this article does it say they were forced back into Gaza. If that happened it likely would have been reported
@Shump I have no idea why you feel the need to be sarcastic. It is entirely possible that they are still in Israel, and just unemployed, because their work permits have been revoked.
@Shump I think they are in detention in West Bank not Gaza. I will find the link. Only once have they forced any back into Gaza as far as I have seen. That was about 3500.
@Shump Why would that be illegal? Also if this was happening why would the article not have mentioned it? As BTE mentioned it's also possible they are in detention centers
@BTE Genuine question if this was your thinking why were you betting the market from 95% to 97%?
@BenAdams I believe I was trying to close out my NO position when I saw the market move so quickly. Buying YES is actually better than selling NO in that scenario. Plus the site is insanely delayed right now. Every othef trade I make is an accident because the buttons keep moving when I go to press them!
@BTE OK got it. I originally had assumed that you read the article and we were going to resolve on the basis of that article and that’s why I didn’t go in harder. After your position totally 180 in response to my comment, I was worried that this meant you hadn’t read the article and were going to resolve on the commenters interpretation of it. It seems like you’ve got a lot going on on this website though, so I’m not assuming any ill intent.
@BenAdamsYes I think I have like 650 markets resolving today. I am being inundated with comments and just trying to keep my head above water. Thanks for understanding.