Will 1,000 AI medical devices be cleared by the FDA during 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ711
Jan 1
15%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

A lot hinges on the intent clarification here: "reach 1000 devices cleared" seems likely, "clear 1000 in 2024 alone" very unlikely.

Perhaps that's enough to N/A this question?

bought Ṁ25 YES

Wait do you mean "reach 1000 total" or only the ones with approval dates in 2024?

Because "during" makes me think the latter, but the former seems like a much more interesting/likely question to have...

And the "be cleared" language, though now I see the ambiguity/different-usage, had me betting like "yes that level of 1000 [total] will be cleared this year, during 2024"

So @BTE what was your intent?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules