Will 1,000 AI medical devices be cleared by the FDA during 2024?
15
110Ṁ722
Jan 1
16%
chance

AI
Medicine
FDA
Medical Grade AI
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Greater than 1200 AI medical devices cleared by the FDA by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care by 2025?
5% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
32% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
34% chance
Will some U.S. doctors be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
14% chance
Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment
12% chance
How many ML/AI-powered clinical diagnostic tests will become standard-of-care in the United States by April 21, 2033?
Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)
21% chance
Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?
21% chance
Sort by:

A lot hinges on the intent clarification here: "reach 1000 devices cleared" seems likely, "clear 1000 in 2024 alone" very unlikely.

Perhaps that's enough to N/A this question?

bought Ṁ25 YES

Wait do you mean "reach 1000 total" or only the ones with approval dates in 2024?

Because "during" makes me think the latter, but the former seems like a much more interesting/likely question to have...

And the "be cleared" language, though now I see the ambiguity/different-usage, had me betting like "yes that level of 1000 [total] will be cleared this year, during 2024"

So @BTE what was your intent?

People are also trading

Greater than 1200 AI medical devices cleared by the FDA by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care by 2025?
5% chance
Will an AI-designed drug get FDA approval by the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?
32% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
34% chance
Will some U.S. doctors be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
14% chance
Will there be a successful medical malpractice suit by end of 2025 for NOT using AI for diagnosis or treatment
12% chance
How many ML/AI-powered clinical diagnostic tests will become standard-of-care in the United States by April 21, 2033?
Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)
21% chance
Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?
21% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules