
Will there be an FDA approved robot by 2030 that can complete the core portion of a surgery?
5
100Ṁ462030
45%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Does not need to complete the entire surgery, just the key element. Must be a surgery, not an in-office procedure. Can include human approval or emergency intervention but normal case will not require human to perform any action during the operation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?
21% chance
Will a robot complete a surgery with no human intervention before 2030?
49% chance
Will surgical robots perform more than 75% of a surgical procedure in a human patient, autonomously, before 2030?
32% chance
By the year 2030, will it be routine for autonomous robotic systems to perform surgical interventions?
19% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?
34% chance
Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care by 2025?
5% chance
Will a humanoid robot provide some kind of commercial service to me by 2026?
14% chance
Will 2K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
92% chance
Will 1,000 AI medical devices be cleared by the FDA during 2024?
16% chance
Will 2K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
90% chance