Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030? | Manifold

Will FDA approve an “AI doctor” for primary care before 2030?

36

1kṀ2167

2030

33%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

AI doctor:

Capabilities: take history, create treatment plan, prescribe medications, order tests, etc. all without human intervention or approval.
Covers >50% of typical primary care volume.

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Some of the things you mentioned don’t require fda clearance.

opened a Ṁ100 NO at 45% order

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People are also trading

Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Will AI replace doctors by 2050?

Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?

The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

Will an AI be able to write a prescription for medication in the US or a EU member country by 2030?

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

Related questions

Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Will AI replace doctors by 2050?

Will there be an AI that diagnoses patients better than an average doctor prior to 2030?

The FDA will approve an AI developed cure before the end of the decade (<2030) for a previously incurable major illness.

Will an AI be able to write a prescription for medication in the US or a EU member country by 2030?

Will the FDA approve a fully autonomous robotic surgery device before 2030?

In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?

Will an AI system legally act as a healthcare proxy anywhere in the US by 2032?

Will AI get a medical license in the USA? (5 year question)

Will AI take over most mental health therapy jobs by end of 2030?

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