Manifold Market of the Year
52
resolved Jan 6
LK-99 Superconductor - @QuantumObserver
Time Person of the Year - @Joshua
GPT4 solve easy sudoku puzzles? - @Mira
FUH 100k steps - @firstuserhere
Rationalussy - @SG market
Manifest Orgy - @Stralor
Whales v Minnows - @IsaacKing

This poll will be used to resolve /BTE/manifold-market-of-the-year

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LK-99 🍀

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@Mira and @QuantumObserver are out in front. @firstuserhere is walking at the quick step in third right in front of @Joshua and the swifties. Vote on 2023 Market of the Year today!

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Would love to get at least 75-100 votes on this poll!!

excellent selection

The fuh step market was a massive community event. Absolutely legendary, with people giving tips, debating endlessly, and the haters being proven wrong! The other markets are not interesting enough and/or have not resolved. Where's the fun in having an unresolved market win! cough sudoku especially if it resolves no

@nikki Mira's sudoku market is the most innovative use of a prediction market i have seen anywhere to date. FUH is brilliant and I love him but anyone who thinks there was even a little bit of actual suspense whether or not he would do it is a sucker. It was only ever going to resolve YES.

I can't wait to see if @Mira already solved it months ago and just wanted to see if it was possible to crowdsource a replication of her solution. That would be badass.

@BTE you must have missed the first attempt

@nikki I saw it all. It was a brilliant performance by FUH. And to be clear I am not saying he did anything nefarious or deceptive. What I am saying is @firstuserhere is an extreme overachiever and is not the type of person who falls short of their personal goals, especially when the entire world is watching. I know the personality type intimately because my wife is precisely the same way. Don't bet against the Wunderkinds because you will get burned every time!!

@BTE I’d vote for GPT4 sudoku if I couldn’t vote for my own magnificent and insane market.

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