Please don't un list this. Just let it exist on manifold. Please :)
If the probability is below 50% at the end of the year, I will quit Manifold.
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@JussiVilleHeiskanen Well it's irrelevant, he has to leave. The probability went below 50%, so by the terms of his market, he's got to quit.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen Nope, it says BY the end of the year, not AT the end of the year. So the criterion was met already.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen nah. Because I'll probably end up quitting manifold at some point. I just don't see a point to doing it. It was a fine time though.
@ChurlishGambit there is limited necessity to be anal about phrasing, we are all human here, a little tolerance for fallibility goes far, this isn't something that had been in the description for weeks, but more something that one asks clarification on. If the user has a record of deliberate misleading phrasing,it would be a different kettle of fish, of course
@Chimpy It's not "fine," it's a total alteration of the initial terms of the markets. It's a fraudulent market.