Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) candidate Peggy Flanagan wins a plurality of votes in Blue Earth County, Minnesota, in the November 3, 2026, United States Senate general election. This market resolves to NO if she does not win the county (i.e., if another candidate receives more votes, or in the event of an exact tie).

The official source of truth will be the certified election results published by the Minnesota Secretary of State Election Results website.

Resolution details:

• Resolution will be based on the official, certified results once they are canvassed. Unofficial election night tallies will not be used for final resolution if they are subject to change.

• If the 2026 Minnesota U.S. Senate general election does not occur, or if Peggy Flanagan is not a candidate on the ballot for this race, the market will resolve to N/A.

Background

In the 2026 United States Senate election in Minnesota, incumbent DFL Senator Tina Smith is not seeking re-election. In the DFL primary held on August 11, 2026, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan secured the nomination with 59% of the vote. She faces Republican nominee Michele Tafoya in the November 3, 2026, general election.

Blue Earth County, located in southern Minnesota and home to Mankato, is historically a key bellwether and swing county in statewide races.

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